Brazil opens its World Cup 2026 campaign in the historic Estadio Azteca, facing a hungry Mexico side that knows the conditions inside out. On paper Brazil is the favorite, but home advantage and the altitude factor make this anything but a stroll.
Key matchup
Mexico’s midfield press will look to disrupt Brazil’s build-up, while Brazil’s wide play through Vinicius and Raphinha is likely to stretch a Mexican back line that has been vulnerable to early crosses.
Our pick
We’re going Brazil to win, but anyone considering value should look at over 2.5 goals: both teams have averaged over 1.7 goals scored per game in qualification, and the opener historically delivers above-line goal counts.